Chicago edges ahead of Bozeman on higher occupancy (35.1% vs 31.2%).
Head-to-head metrics
| Bozeman | Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Median occupancy | 31.2% | 35.1% |
| Median daily rate | £222 | £171 |
| Median RevPAR | £68 | £59 |
| Active listings | 455 | 6,325 |
| YoY occupancy | +0 pts | +2.2 pts |
| YoY daily rate | +47.8% | +53.9% |
| Regulation risk | — | — |
| Annual night cap | None | None |
| License required | No | No |
Full analysis: Bozeman vs Chicago
Scored on median occupancy, revenue per available night and regulation risk together, Chicago finishes narrowly ahead of Bozeman. Chicago is the deeper market at 6,325 active listings against 455, which usually means better comparables going in and a wider buyer pool coming out. Chicago edges the utilisation count at 35.1% to 31.2% — 3.9 points, which one good season would erase. The margin is thin enough that a single strong year in Bozeman would close it, so treat the ordering as a lean rather than a verdict.
The two markets reach their revenue by different routes, which is what makes this pairing worth reading rather than just tabulating. Bozeman is the rate market: £222 a night against £171, some 29.4% more, but it converts fewer of those nights at 31.2% occupancy. Chicago is the volume market, filling 35.1% of its calendar at a lower headline price. Revenue per available night settles it: £68 in Bozeman against £59. Rate is what you advertise; RevPAR is what you bank.
That verdict needs a caveat, because Bozeman is not simply the weaker market of the two. Bozeman commands 29.4% more per night, £222 against £171. Across a full year the median Bozeman listing grosses £24,646 against £21,629 in Chicago. If your model leans on nightly rate rather than volume, the ordering above can reasonably flip.
Neither Bozeman nor Chicago currently has a verified short-term rental regulation record in our register, so the comparison above is a yield comparison only. Regulation is the single largest source of downside in this asset class — an unverified market is an unpriced risk, not an absent one.
The two calendars also behave differently. Bozeman peaks in September at 55% and bottoms in March at 30.2%; Chicago runs from 54% in September down to 24.1% in February. Bozeman is the steadier of the two at 24.8 points peak-to-trough against 29.9 — easier to underwrite against a mortgage — while Chicago concentrates its return into a shorter window and rewards operators who price the peak aggressively instead of holding a flat rate all year.
Who each suits, then. Bozeman suits buyers who want a conventional, lightly regulated entry and who can hold rate through the shoulder season rather than discounting to fill the calendar. Chicago answers to the same regulatory profile, so the split between them is operational rather than legal: it is the market for an owner whose economics survive high turnover — more bookings, more cleans, more guest contact per pound of revenue. It is also the momentum side of this pair. Every figure above comes from the same Inside Airbnb snapshot pipeline on both sides, dated 2026-09, filtered to listings with at least one booking in the last twelve months. Occupancy medians are drawn from 455 active Bozeman listings and 6,325 in Chicago.
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