Sydney and Tasmania score similarly on the metrics that matter most for short-term rental returns. The right pick depends on whether you optimise for yield (lower regulation risk, higher RevPAR) or capital growth.
Head-to-head metrics
| Sydney | Tasmania | |
|---|---|---|
| Median occupancy | 18.1% | 26.3% |
| Median daily rate | £173 | £148 |
| Median RevPAR | £32 | £40 |
| Active listings | 15,034 | 5,498 |
| YoY occupancy | -1.6 pts | +0 pts |
| YoY daily rate | — | +49.2% |
| Regulation risk | medium | — |
| Annual night cap | 180 | None |
| License required | No | No |
Full analysis: Sydney vs Tasmania
There is no clean winner between Sydney and Tasmania. Sydney posts 18.1% occupancy and £32 RevPAR; Tasmania posts 26.3% occupancy and £40 RevPAR. Weighted together with regulation risk the two finish inside the margin we are willing to call, which is the honest answer rather than an evasive one — a scoring gap this small would flip on the next data refresh. When markets are this close the decision stops being about the market and starts being about the deal: what you pay, what it costs to run, and how quickly you could exit.
The two markets reach their revenue by different routes, which is what makes this pairing worth reading rather than just tabulating. Sydney is the rate market: £173 a night against £148, some 16.3% more, but it converts fewer of those nights at 18.1% occupancy. Tasmania is the volume market, filling 26.3% of its calendar at a lower headline price. Revenue per available night settles it: £40 in Tasmania against £32. Rate is what you advertise; RevPAR is what you bank.
A tie does not mean the two are interchangeable — it means each holds something the other does not. Sydney is the deeper market at 15,034 active listings against 5,498, which usually means better comparables going in and a wider buyer pool coming out. Across a full year the median Tasmania listing grosses £14,780 against £11,594 in Sydney. Pick the one whose advantage matches how you intend to operate, because the composite score will not do that job for you.
We hold a verified regulation record for only one side of this pairing. Sydney caps entire-home letting at 180 nights a year and requires registration but no licence, on a medium risk rating. Tasmania should be read as unverified rather than unregulated: check the local authority's own register before you underwrite anything there.
The two calendars also behave differently. Sydney peaks in September at 62.1% and bottoms in November at 44.3%; Tasmania runs from 52.7% in September down to 36.9% in May. Both swing by a similar amount across the year, so neither offers meaningfully steadier cash flow than the other.
Who each suits, then. Sydney suits an owner who expects to use the property personally for part of the year, or to run a hybrid calendar around the 180-night ceiling and who can hold rate through the shoulder season rather than discounting to fill the calendar. It is the contrarian side: buying it means buying a market that has cooled. Tasmania suits buyers who want a conventional, lightly regulated entry and whose economics survive high turnover — more bookings, more cleans, more guest contact per pound of revenue. Every figure above comes from the same Inside Airbnb snapshot pipeline on both sides, dated 2026-09, filtered to listings with at least one booking in the last twelve months. Occupancy medians are drawn from 15,034 active Sydney listings and 5,498 in Tasmania.
Frequently asked questions
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